Thursday, 24 March 2016

Who is Boro's best ever manager?

Nine days ago in the midst of 'Karankagate' we tweeted the following;
"Here's an interesting stat - Aitor Karanka's win ratio @Boro is 51.9%, Jack Charlton's was 45.6%, Bryan Robson's 40.45% & Bruce Rioch's 40%."
Our information was based on an article we'd read but nevertheless the Tweet led to the inevitable question about which divisions of the Football pyramid those statistics related to. Other than being safe in the knowledge that Aitor Karanka's stats all referred to the second tier we were unable to answer the question. However, after a good deal of research, we can now reveal who is Boro's leading manager in each of the top two tiers of English Football.

The answer is (Cue drumroll)... Jack Charlton.

The statistics that support such an assertion are thus.

Top Division Pld Won % Win 2nd Tier Pld Won % Win
Jack Charlton 126 47 37.30 Jack Charlton 51 30 58.82
John Neal 168 59 35.12 Bryan Robson 92 50 54.35
Steve McClaren 190 64 33.68 Gareth Southgate 13 7 53.85
Terry Venables 22 7 31.82 Aitor Karanka 119 62 52.10
Bryan Robson 168 50 29.76 Lenny Lawrence 92 41 44.57
Lenny Lawrence 42 11 26.19 Colin Todd 48 20 41.67
Gareth Southgate 114 29 25.44 Tony Mowbray 137 50 36.50
Bruce Rioch 38 9 23.68 Bruce Rioch 84 27 32.14
Bobby Murdoch 42 8 19.05 Malcolm Allison 68 20 29.41
Colin Todd 12 1 8.33 Gordon Strachan 43 12 27.91
Willie Maddren 70 17 24.29
Bobby Murdoch 7 0 0

These figures are for League games only, no FA Cups, League Cup, UEFA Cup, Anglo-Italian, Zenith Data Systems or pre-season friendlies are included. Nor are Bruce Rioch's 27 wins in 46 games in the Third tier of English football.

So there you have it. You may argue that there should be a qualifying number of matches before these stats count rather like cricket averages. That might then preclude Bobby Murdoch & Gareth Southgate's 2nd tier performance and Colin Todd's effort in the old first division. Whatever the case I am minded of Darrell Huff's book recommended by an old university tutor of mine many moons ago.

The title of the book...?

"How to lie with statistics".